Recessions are more than just a number: an investment framework
The idea that a U.S. recession could be imminent is likely to spark anxiety among investors. We highlight five considerations that investors should pay attention to.
The idea that a U.S. recession could be imminent is likely to spark anxiety among investors. We highlight five considerations that investors should pay attention to.
The first quarter (Q1) of 2023 was a rollercoaster ride for investors. Market volatility unfolded following U.S. and European banking turmoil, and interest rates and inflation climbed—evoking investor fears about financial stability.
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The U.S. Federal Reserve has hinted strongly that May 4’s 50 basis point interest-rate hike is merely the beginning of what’s to come. Is the U.S. central bank so determined to eliminate inflation that it’s willing to risk recession?
What’s causing the recent market volatility and selloff? While the Fed has communicated that it’s likely to begin raising interest rates sooner than originally expected, we don’t believe this is a cause for concern. In our view, despite the short-term volatility that a pivot in monetary policy will create, it’s a positive development. Read More...